Conformal coverage
Empirical coverage of each conformal method on held-out trips, overall and by bin, borough and hour, with mean interval width (lower end clipped at 0) and a 95% interval from a bootstrap that resamples whole test days (B = 2,000, seed 20190101).
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| schemeTEXT | methodTEXT | levelREAL | group_typeTEXT | group_valueTEXT | tripsINTEGER | coveredINTEGER | mean_widthREAL | daysINTEGER | ci_lowREAL | ci_highREAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | hour | 23 | 543847 | 517208 | 31.416056247162214 | 61 | 0.9471073108001036 | 0.954460103084482 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 0 | 2409977 | 2258038 | 22.172356494128753 | 61 | 0.9305898904443809 | 0.9438263159800431 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 1 | 1275639 | 1204136 | 25.344527531418233 | 61 | 0.939770733010793 | 0.9478337511477627 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 2 | 1086441 | 1020022 | 26.847632839220942 | 61 | 0.9337292450371547 | 0.944740399163682 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 3 | 1168823 | 1104401 | 28.00838019417294 | 61 | 0.9405465477994578 | 0.9489583911257456 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 4 | 1042608 | 987561 | 28.366826131874674 | 61 | 0.9436075895611094 | 0.9506088287691999 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 5 | 1266240 | 1197675 | 29.590499033472856 | 61 | 0.942815037115107 | 0.9485942489317759 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 6 | 877407 | 828311 | 30.389881987416803 | 61 | 0.9391800272703622 | 0.9485778831717888 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 7 | 1024360 | 967994 | 31.456052824851994 | 61 | 0.9407169486968372 | 0.9484965112045455 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 8 | 852521 | 807827 | 33.335441228273986 | 61 | 0.9432759533794965 | 0.9518529698761391 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 9 | 976843 | 916759 | 45.202874205862805 | 61 | 0.9306150932237441 | 0.9445346560242962 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 10 | 19800 | 19082 | 45.88267197724881 | 61 | 0.9596091766477066 | 0.967678250138994 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 11 | 10195 | 9763 | 50.14754821274011 | 61 | 0.9490906407814833 | 0.9639759472125472 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 12 | 11499 | 11000 | 51.04056414331937 | 61 | 0.9493527632961402 | 0.9620367495504696 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 13 | 8191 | 7821 | 52.78899809042818 | 61 | 0.9451520309602455 | 0.962374693633171 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 14 | 9031 | 8580 | 54.41917343925446 | 61 | 0.9430324755068247 | 0.956879874168835 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 15 | 13010 | 12558 | 50.72355461768995 | 61 | 0.9612772964705669 | 0.9686491386315936 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 16 | 12166 | 11539 | 44.68977160173969 | 61 | 0.942062333260525 | 0.9552846514600102 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 17 | 11766 | 11255 | 34.58004755245883 | 61 | 0.9498964845766831 | 0.9626741584109205 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 18 | 11107 | 10620 | 35.18709615047189 | 61 | 0.9498572108098382 | 0.9615006273588359 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 19 | 10009 | 9433 | 56.41126403531666 | 61 | 0.934808199160758 | 0.949081656351772 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 20 | 67584 | 65035 | 43.65109297659998 | 61 | 0.956926596234333 | 0.9672340332202849 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 21 | 137085 | 132006 | 50.193740888644754 | 61 | 0.9556531535322401 | 0.9685022520144055 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 22 | 77022 | 72611 | 48.51123153079476 | 61 | 0.9364877155486067 | 0.9489875010962958 |
| temporal | mondrian_borough | 0.95 | borough_bin | 23 | 69203 | 64458 | 50.90265234524265 | 61 | 0.9212229654535666 | 0.9410269710438707 |